Baltimore Sun Poll: Maryland Democrats don't pick O'Malley for White House;
Most Marylanders back raising minimum wage;
Most Marylanders support changing marijuana laws
(February 16, 2014) - In a poll by OpinionWorks for The Baltimore Sun among likely primary voters in the State of Maryland, Hillary Clinton outpolled Gov. Martin O'Malley by nearly 10 to 1 among likely Maryland Democratic voters when asked to name their choice among four possible candidates to be the Democratic nominee in the 2016 presidential election. Fifty-nine percent picked Clinton. Vice President Joseph Biden came in second with 14 percent. O'Malley came in third with 6 percent, and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo received 4 percent.
When likely Maryland Republican voters were asked for their top choice from a field of five possible contenders, Dr. Ben Carson was the top pick with 24 percent, outperforming Jeb Bush (15%), Chris Christie (14%), Rand Paul (14%), and Marco Rubio (12%).
The poll offers a snapshot of voter support if the election were to take place today. For the full story in The Baltimore Sun, click here.
In other issues, the poll found that 69 percent of all likely voters surveyed said they support raising Maryland's minimum wage from the current federal rate of $7.25 per hour to $10.10 per hour. Among Democratic likely voters, 88 percent were in favor and 9 percent opposed. Among Republican likely voters, 32 percent favored the change and 61 percent opposed. The poll also found that 58 percent of all likely voters surveyed supported changing the marijuana laws to either decriminalize possession of small amounts of it or to legalize it. For the full story in The Baltimore Sun, click here.
OpinionWorks conducted the poll for The Baltimore Sun by telephone, February 8-12, 2014. It surveyed 1,199 likely Maryland voters, including 500 likely Democratic primary voters and 499 likely Republican primary voters. The margin of error is 4.4 percentage point for questions about each of the two primaries and 2.8 percentage points for general questions. The full survey is here.
New Poll Shows Strong Public Support
for the Arts in Maryland
"The poll affirms that beyond valuing arts experiences, Marylanders envision the arts as a means of progress in education, community enhancement, cultural awareness and more," said Hannah Byron, Assistant Secretary for Tourism, Film and the Arts at the Maryland Department of Business and Economic Development. "The public perception that the arts are positioned to advance Maryland's most pressing priorities is well-aligned with the Arts Council's Programs and strategic plan." (MSAC Press Release; the full press release can be downloaded below)
MSAC's five-year strategic plan can be found here.
The full report on this survey can be downloaded below.
Recent Poll Shows Strong Support
for Tobacco Tax Increase in Maryland
(January 21, 2014) - Maryland Citizens’ Health Initiative commissioned this statewide Maryland voter survey to understand attitudes about a proposed increase in the State’s tobacco tax.
This telephone poll of 785 randomly-selected Maryland registered voters was conducted by telephone January 14-19, 2014, using trained and supervised live interviewers. The findings have a potential sampling error of no more than ± 3.4 percent at the 95% confidence level. A more detailed methodology statement is found at the end of this summary.
By two-to-one, voters support a $1.00 per pack increase in the State tobacco tax with the money dedicated to healthcare coverage, the state tobacco control program, long-term care for seniors, and other community-based health initiatives. Nearly two-thirds of voters (64 percent) support this proposal, and a 50 percent majority do so strongly. One voter in three is opposed (32 percent).
The full report on this study can be downloaded at the bottom on this page.
This study in the media:
Editorial in The Baltimore Sun: "Smoking is even worse than you thought," January 27, 2014
MarylandReporter.com: "No new taxes this year, O'Malley says, but Vinny DeMarco seeks one more," January 22, 2014
Suburban Washington poll shows depth of voter desire
to "hearken back to simpler times"
(September 13, 2013) - 1000 Friends of Maryland commissioned a voter survey in Charles County, Maryland to understand attitudes and preferences surrounding the long-term development plan currently proposed for Charles County.
This telephone survey of 401 randomly-selected Charles County registered voters was conducted July 3-7, 2013. Charles County voters are quite unified in what they want from a long-term development plan, and the survey clearly identifies a public that aspires to "hearken back to simpler times" and foster a close-knit community feel, with ample open space, public safety, and access to recreation.
The full report on this survey can be downloaded at the bottom of the page.
This study in the media:
Southern Maryland News: "1000 Friends survey finds residents oppose draft plan," September 13, 2013
Half of all Maryland residents have known someone affected by hunger;
One in five Marylanders have direct, personal experience with food insecurity
The Maryland Food Bank commissioned a representative survey by OpinionWorks of Marylanders to determine the awareness and impact of hunger in the general public. Six hundred Marylanders were interviewed by telephone in the area served by the Food Bank, which is statewide excluding Montgomery and Prince George's Counties.
The survey shows the widespread impact of hunger across Maryland. Half of all residents (51%) in the Maryland Food Bank service area have known someone personally who has been affected by hunger. One in five residents have been affected by hunger themselves.
The full hunger fact sheet can be downloaded at the bottom of this page.
Marylanders To Prevent Gun Violence Releases New Polling Data;
Maryland Voters Overwhelmingly Support Licensing the Purchase of Handguns;
Sarah Brady in Annapolis to Visit Top Lawmakers
Annapolis, MD (February 20, 2013) – Marylanders to Prevent Gun Violence (MPGV) released new polling data today showing that an overwhelming majority of Maryland registered voters support licensing handgun purchasers. According to the new poll conducted by Opinion Works, 81% of Maryland voters statewide, including 89% of Democrats, 78% of Independents, and 64% of Republicans, said yes to the following question, “Would you support requiring a license to purchase a handgun in Maryland that would require a fingerprint, criminal background check, and safety training.” (The Memo from Opinion Works pollster Steve Raabe along with the poll crosstabs are posted at the bottom of this page.)
“This is a profound level of support for a major public policy proposal, and as close as you can find to consensus today.” said OpinionWorks Pollster Steve Raabe. “Across party lines, Maryland’s voters view this as an important, common sense measure.”
The new polling data was released on the same day that Sarah Brady, a national leader for effective gun violence prevention laws, will be in Annapolis to meet with key lawmakers on the governor's Firearms Safety Act. Sarah Brady will meet with Governor Martin O'Malley, Lt. Governor Anthony Brown, Senate President Mike Miller and House Speaker Mike Busch. She'll also meet with the Chair of the Senate Judicial Proceedings Committee, Senator Brian Frosh.
"Marylanders to Prevent Gun Violence is honored to have Sarah Brady in Annapolis today to meet with key lawmakers about responsible measures to prevent gun violence," said Vincent DeMarco, MPGV Board President. "The people of Maryland know that licensing handgun purchasers saves lives and its time for the Maryland General Assembly to enact common sense legislation to reduce straw purchases and save lives."
Since 1981, when her husband Jim Brady was shot during the assassination attempt of President Ronald Reagan, Sarah Brady and her husband have been tireless champions of sensible gun laws, helping to the secure the passage of the "Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act" signed into law in 1993. Since that time 1.7 million prohibited purchasers have been stopped from buying guns.
The MPGV press release, as well as the handgun licensing report and cross-tabs can be downloaded below.
Strong Voter Support for Gun Measures in Maryland
A Divided Public on Repealing the Death Penalty
(January 13, 2013) Large majorities of Maryland voters support a ban on assault weapons and limitations on ammunition magazines, while the public remains divided on the question of repealing the death penalty, according to a new poll by the independent firm OpinionWorks of Annapolis, Maryland.
The poll of 800 voters was conducted Dec. 28, 2012 – Jan. 2, 2013, and carries a margin of sampling error of ± 3.5%.
The poll found:
· A nearly three-to-one majority of Marylanders support limiting the capacity for ammunition in detachable magazines from 20 to 10, with 71% in favor and 24% opposed.
· 62% of Maryland voters would ban the sale of assault weapons, while 35% are opposed.
· A plurality of 48% oppose repealing the state’s death penalty, while 42% favor repeal – a result that indicates a possible 2014 referendum on this question could be closely contested.
“If these gun control proposals went to a referendum, they would pass easily. Repeal of the death penalty is another matter, as the public is deeply conflicted,” said OpinionWorks President and the poll’s author Steve Raabe. “Like the State Senate, which is nearly equally divided and considering its decision carefully, attitudes about the death penalty do not follow easily predictable fault lines in the public.”
An assault weapons ban is supported in all parts of the state except Western Maryland, and politically is opposed only by Republicans, and narrowly at that. A limit on high-capacity magazines is supported in all regions of the state and by partisans of all stripes. Meanwhile, the death penalty repeal sees its strongest opposition in the rural parts of the state and Baltimore City. But generally-speaking there are not large differences among voter groups on the death penalty as the public wrestles with this difficult issue.
800 Maryland registered voters were interviewed by telephone Dec. 28, 2012 – Jan. 2, 2013. Interviews were not conducted Dec. 31 and Jan. 1. Voters were selected randomly from the database provided by the Maryland State Board of Elections. These interviews were conducted by supervised and trained live interviewers, and were paid for by the independent polling firm OpinionWorks, based in Annapolis. Statewide results have a maximum possible sampling error of ± 3.5% at a 95% confidence level.
The detailed cross-tabs for all three questions can be downloaded below.
This study in the media:
Baltimore Sun: "Marylanders strongly support gun control proposals, poll finds," January 13, 2013.